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Who will win the awards ceremony in 2024?

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Grab your ball gowns and score cards, because it’s time for the 2024 Emmy Awards!

That’s right. Though it’s been eight months since the Emmys aired on Fox, it’s already time for TV’s biggest night. This time, it’s on ABC and hosted by father-son acting duo Eugene and Dan Levy (8 EDT/5 PDT). We ended up with two Emmys in one year, as the January awards were postponed from last September due to actor and writer strikes. So now the awards are back on track, and it’s time to honor the best TV that was streamed and broadcast between June 2023 and this past May.

But who will be honored with a trophy and give an acceptance speech, and who will just be happy with their nomination? We analyze the awards season buzz to predict who will win on Sunday, and who should really walk away with the gold. Spoiler alert: prepare to hear FX’s “The Bear” and “Shogun” a lot!

Who will win the (second) Primetime Emmys of 2024?

Best Drama Series

◾ “The Crown” (Netflix)

◾ “Fallout” (Amazon Prime Video)

◾ “The Gilded Age” (HBO)

◾ “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)

◾ “Mr. and Mrs. Smith” (Amazon Prime Video)

◾ “Shogun” (FX)

◾ “Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)

◾ “3 Body Problem” (Netflix)

Must/will win: “Shogun”

If you haven’t yet watched FX’s historical epic “Shogun” (streaming on Hulu), run, don’t walk, to immerse yourself in the lush world of 1600s Japan. A new adaptation of James Clavell’s acclaimed novel, the series chronicles the first English contact with Japan amid a time of political turmoil in the feudal island nation. With grand sets, grand performances and dazzling action, it’s the “Game of Thrones” sequel you didn’t know you needed (sans dragons), and it’s likely to win a boatload of Emmys on Sunday, including best drama.

Best Comedy Series

◾ “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)

◾ “The Bear” (FX)

◾ “Curb Your Enthusiasm” (HBO)

◾ “Hacks” (Max)

◾ “Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)

◾ “Palm Royale” (Apple TV+)

◾ “Reserve Dogs” (FX)

◾ “What We Do in the Shadows” (FX)

Should win: “Reservation dogs”Will win: “The Bear”

Because of the Emmy calendar, it’s the stellar second season of “The Bear” that’s up for this Sunday’s Emmys, not the lackluster third season that streamed this summer. So the loud, profane restaurant workers should have no trouble taking home gold in the category for a second time (Season 1 won in January). But its FX sibling, “Reservation Dogs,” wasn’t just one of the best comedies of the past year; it’s one of the best shows of this century, a powerful, singular work of art with a point of view unlike anything you’ve ever seen. The TV Academy finally recognized the craft of “Dogs” with this nomination for its third and final season, but it’s just not enough.

Best Limited/Anthology Series

◾ “Baby Reindeer” (Netflix)

◾ “Fargo” (FX)

◾ “Lessons in Chemistry” (Apple TV+)

◾ “Ripley” (Netflix)

◾ “Real Detective: Nightland” (HBO)

Should win: “Real Detective: Nightland”Will win: “Baby reindeer”

The final (and arguably best) season of “True Detective” was a stunning, chilling nightmare, but unfortunately it can’t compete with all the “Baby Reindeer” hype. Comedian Richard Gadd’s dark limited series from Netflix was a phenomenon, thanks to its deeply disturbing content, the (arguably) true story of a man stalked and harassed by an older woman, and the intimacy of the performances. All that and its popularity should have propelled the series to victory.

Lead actress, drama series

◾ Jennifer Aniston, “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)

◾ Carrie Coon, “The Gilded Age” (HBO)

◾ Maya Erskine, “Mr. and Mrs. Smith” (Amazon Prime Video)

◾ Anna Sawai, “Shogun” (FX)

◾ Imelda Staunton, “The Crown” (Netflix)

◾ Reese Witherspoon, “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)

Must/will win: Sow

Get ready to get to know Anna Sawai, because she’s going to be a star. The actress, who’s done great work in shows like Apple’s “Pachinko” or “Monarch: Legacy of Monsters,” was one of the best things about the excellent “Shogun.” Her stunning performance as noblewoman and translator Toda Mariko will likely propel the relatively unknown actress to a win over the A-listers in her category, and hopefully to bigger and bolder fame in the process.

Lead Actor, Drama Series

◾ Idris Elba, “Hijack” (Apple TV+)

◾ Donald Glover, “Mr. and Mrs. Smith” (Amazon Prime Video)

◾ Walton Goggins, “Fallout” (Amazon Prime Video)

◾ Gary Oldman, “Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)

◾Hiroyuki Sanada, “Shogun” (FX)

◾ Dominic West, “The Crown” (Netflix)

Must/will win: Sanada

Speaking of “Shogun,” names you’ll want to know, veteran performer Sanada is finally getting his due on the FX series (he’s also a producer). The Japanese actor, a standby in American pop culture with smaller roles in shows (HBO’s “Westworld”) and movies (“Avengers: Endgame”), is the anchor “Shogun” needs. His performance as a disgraced nobleman doing his best to stay alive is terrific, to say the least. I’m glad Emmy voters took notice.

Lead Actress, Comedy Series

◾ Quinta Brunson, “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)

◾ Ayo Edebiri, “The Bear” (FX)

◾ Selena Gomez, “Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)

◾ Maya Rudolph, “Loot” (Apple TV+)

◾ Jean Smart, “Hacks” (Max)

◾ Kristen Wiig, “Palm Royale” (Apple TV+)

Must/will win: Smart

Smart money is on, well, Smart. The beloved actress has already won twice in this category for her role as aging comedienne Deborah Vance in Max’s “Hacks,” and there’s no reason to think her streak will be broken. Brunson deservedly won this category in January, but that’s partly because Smart wasn’t even in the running.

Lead Actor, Comedy Series

◾ Matt Berry, “What We Do in the Shadows” (FX)

◾ Larry David, “Curb Your Enthusiasm” (HBO)

◾ Steve Martin, “Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)

◾ Martin Short, “Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)

◾ Jeremy Allen White, “The Bear” (FX)

◾ D’Pharaoh Woon-A-Tai, “Reserve Dogs” (FX)

Should win: BerryWill win: White

Speaking of repeat winners, White is exactly the kind of performer who’s likely to return to the Emmy stage, as long as he’s the lead in his critically acclaimed show. The TV Academy that said “yes, chef!” to his Season 1 performance will do the same for Season 2. It’s a shame, because while White is excellent, actors like Berry and Woon-A-Tai are doing slightly more interesting work on their respective shows. Berry, in particular, is a brilliant comedian in the vampire satire “Shadows,” which drops this fall, and has limited opportunities to be recognized for his work.

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