T20 World Cup 2024 Super 8 Group 1 Semi-final Qualifying Scenarios: India, Australia, Afghanistan

Places in the semi-finals of the 2024 T20 World Cup are up for grabs and after India’s clinical win over Bangladesh in the Group 1 Super 8 match in Antigua, it has become clearer who are the two teams likely to secure a place to the next phase of the tournament.

After playing their matches against Afghanistan and now Bangladesh, the Men in Blue led by Rohit Sharma are currently at the top of the table with all four points achieved. Meanwhile, Australia will soon play their match against Afghanistan and hope to get the win and match India on points. Countries like Afghanistan and Bangladesh are at the bottom of the pile, having not yet achieved victory.

Scenarios for the 2024 T20 World Cup semi-final:

India have their last match pending against Australia. The latter will take on Afghanistan first and a win will seal both India and Australia’s spots for the semi-finals. Bangladesh’s chances of securing a spot in the semi-finals are coming to an end as Afghanistan will play its last match against Bangladesh which will be a dead rubber.

Scenario 1: If Australia defeats Afghanistan

If the Aussies get past Afghanistan to secure the two points, it would mean both Australia and India would qualify for the semi-finals, with the rest of the group stage ending as a dead rubber.

Scenario 2: Australia wins against Afghanistan but loses against India:

Even if Australia gets past Afghanistan and still loses to India, it would mean that both India and Australia would still get the two semi-finals as the other teams will not be able to get four points.

Scenario 3: Australia loses to Afghanistan but wins to India:

The race to the semi-finals would be very interesting if Afghanistan could secure a win over the Aussies by a huge margin to also increase their net run rate. Then it would mean that Afghanistan have an outside chance to secure a spot, but they would have to ensure that their wins would have to come by a huge margin to increase their net run-rate.

Scenario 4: Australia loses to both Afghanistan and India:

An unlikely but possible scenario is that if Australia end up losing their remaining matches against Afghanistan and India, it would mean that Afghanistan could sneak in, assuming they win their last match against Bangladesh. Afghans could have a total of four points, while Australia could get two.

Scenario 5: Australia wins against Afghanistan and India loses against Australia:

This would mean that both India and Australia will still reach the semi-finals of the tournament.

The first semi-final will be played on June 27 at the Brian Lara Stadium in Trinidad, while the second semi-final will be played later the same day at the Providence Stadium in Guyana.

The 2024 T20 World Cup final will be played on June 29 at the Kensington Oval in Bridgetown, Barbados.

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