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Rainy days locally, Gulf storm intensifies

FLOOD WARNING:

Flagler County until 5:45pm – expired

Another front is moving across the Florida-Georgia border bringing more rain. Rain continues to fall along the east coast from Florida to the Carolinas. This stationary front will do more of the same by bringing consistent days of rain. Flood warnings and advisories are very likely for the next week.

THIS EVENING:

Rain will continue Sunday night, while temperatures will remain in the mid-70s with mostly cloudy skies, high humidity levels above 60 percent, and winds from the north and northeast. Dew points will remain nearly parallel to ambient temperatures. Calmer winds will remain in northeast Florida than southeast Georgia, where winds will be gusty between 10 and 15 miles per hour. Rain accumulation will range from a tenth to a quarter inch for SE Georgia and NE Florida. Rain will continue after sunset tonight for Florida and Georgia.

MONDAY:

Put your umbrella in the car before you leave for work.

Temperatures will remain in the mid to low 70s with mostly cloudy skies and high humidity. Rain will taper off to a trickle in northeast Florida through early morning, while southeast Georgia will see slightly more rain in some areas. Afternoon rain and thunderstorms are possible through the afternoon. Temperatures will peak in the low 80s before noon, as the chance of rain remains around 50 percent for NE Florida and SE Georgia. Clouds will persist throughout the day. Calmer winds will persist in northeast Florida than southeast Georgia, where winds will be gusty between 10 and 15 mph. Rain chances will continue through Monday evening.

OUTLOOK:

Drier air will move into the southeastern United States, while dew points for southeast Georgia and northeast Florida will remain in the 60 to 70 degree range. We will continue to have an unstable atmosphere primed for rain. Water in the atmosphere will remain at 2 inches. There will be humid late nights and early mornings. Fog may still develop early in the morning.

There is a potential for more moisture to enter the atmosphere as a low pressure area continues to develop over the western Gulf, as this area draws more moisture into the Gulf states, including Florida, and through Texas, Louisiana and Mississippi.

Press play above to watch live radar

The chance of rain is currently 60 to 80 percent for the remainder of the work week.

Chance of rain on Sunday evening (WJXT TV 4)
Chance of rain late Sunday evening (WJXT TV 4)

IN SEARCH OF THE TROPICS:

So far, the Atlantic disturbances are not moving into Florida. However, the western Gulf disturbance is likely to have a minor indirect impact on Florida in the form of moisture, particularly for the Gulf counties.

WESTERN GULF

The low pressure continues to produce rain and thunderstorms. The composition of the low pressure and its characteristics make it likely that it will develop into a tropical depression or storm early this week. Multiple models currently show it moving from north to northwest towards Texas and LouisianaHurricane Hunters will assess the storm today. The chance of a formation occurring is 90 percent in the next 24 hours to seven days.

By Sunday evening, the system is moving northwestward in the western Gulf at 5 mph (7 kph). Although it is currently a disturbance, Air Force reconnaissance data indicates maximum sustained winds are around 50 mph (85 kph) with higher gusts. It is expected to become a tropical storm by Monday.

Possible Tropical Cyclone Six:

Possible rainfall of 4 to 8 inches with local amounts up to 12 inches

Impact: Parts of Mexico, Texas and Louisiana

CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC OCEAN

AL92 is currently a cluster of showers and thunderstorms and is showing development that could lead to a tropical depression. The location is currently approximately 43 W 14 N. Chance of formation: 60 percent in the next 48 hours and 70 percent in the next seven days.

EASTERN CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC OCEAN

A trough of low pressure that looks almost like a U-shaped curve is the location of possible development. It is located several hundred kilometers southwest of the Cape Verde Islands with a wide area of ​​unorganized rain and storms. It could slowly form into a tropical depression in the coming days. There is a zero percent chance of formation in the next 48 hours and a 50 percent chance of formation in the next 7 days.

Tropical storm forecasts from Sunday (WJXT TV 4)

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