Padres vs. Rangers Prediction, Odds, Picks

The San Diego Padres are in the Lone Star State to take on the Texas Rangers for a game of baseball on the 4th of July! Check out our MLB odds series as we dish out a Padres vs. Rangers prediction and pick. We’ll also let you know how to watch the game.

Expected starters Padres-Rangers

Michael King in return for Max Scherzer

Michael King (6-5) with a 3.61 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 99.2 innings pitched, 115K/39BB, .232 oBA

Last Start: at Boston Red Sox: Win, 6 innings, 5 hits, 1 run, 1 walk, 6 strikeouts

2024 Road Splits: 10 games, 9 starts, 2.84 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 57 innings pitched, 53K/19BB, .230 oBA

Max Scherzer (1-1) with a 1.74 ERA, 0.68 WHIP, 10.1 innings pitched, 2 runs, 8K/2BB, .139 oBA

Last Start: at Baltimore Orioles: loss, 5.1 innings pitched, 4 hits, 2 runs, 2 walks, 4 strikeouts

2024 Home Splits: 1 start, 0.00 ERA, 0.20 WHIP, 4K/0BB, .063 oBA

Here are the MLB odds, courtesy of FanDuel.

MLB Odds: Padres-Rangers Odds

San Diego Padres: -1.5 (+160)

Moneyline: +106

Texas Rangers: +1.5 (-194)

Moneyline: -124

More than: 8.5 (+100)

Below: 8.5 (-122)

How to Watch Padres vs. Rangers

Time: 2:35pm ET/11:35am PT

TV: Bally Sports Southwest, MLB TV

Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)

Why the Padres Will Cover the Spread/Win

Michael King gets the ball for the Padres and he’s having a great season. Plus, King is coming off a great June. He made six starts, threw 33.2 innings, struck out 41 and finished with a 2.67 ERA. Excluding his start against the Milwaukee Brewers, King threw 27.2 innings, allowed just 24 hits, struck out 33, walked nine and had a 1.63 ERA. He’s throwing the ball very well and that should continue in this game.

The Rangers aren’t the best offensive team. They’re batting under .240 and their hitting percentage is 17th in the MLB. In June, the Rangers were batting just .232 and their OPS was a lowly .662. They were also under .500 in the record column. Texas is struggling and they’re missing some key hitters. Michael King has a chance to have a great game and he can lead the Padres to a win.

Why the Rangers will cover the spread/win

Max Scherzer is taking the ball for the Rangers, and his first two starts of the season have been great. Scherzer has only allowed five hits in his first two starts, and he has given the Rangers a chance to win both games. He is pitching like the old Max Scherzer, and the Rangers need that to continue. If Scherzer can continue to pitch well, the Rangers will win this game.

The Rangers need to hit the ball. The good news is they don’t swing and miss a lot. King is a pretty good strikeout pitcher, but chances are the Rangers won’t strike out many in this game. They have the sixth-fewest strikeouts and the ninth-lowest weak-hit percentage. If King gets the ball over the plate, the Rangers should be able to put some good wood on the ball.

Latest Padres-Rangers Prediction and Picks

This pitching matchup is very good. Both pitchers can shut down the other team, and I think the under is a good bet because of that. As for a winner, I think the Padres win this game. King is a great pitcher, and the Padres have one of the best offenses in MLB. I’m going with the Padres moneyline.

Click here for more betting news and predictions

Latest Padres-Rangers prediction and pick: Padres ML (+106)