New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays Odds, Picks & Predictions

The New York Mets (79-66) and Toronto Blue Jays (69-77) wrap up a 3-game series on Wednesday. First pitch from Rogers Centre is scheduled for 3:07 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Blue Jays chances and make our expert MLB predictions for the best bets.

Season Series: Draw 1-1

The Mets picked up a 3-2 win in the series opener on Monday, but it was on the short side of a 6-2 loss on Tuesday. The Under (8.5) cashed on Monday, while they pushed on Tuesday (8) at most outlets. That total has come off a 3-0-1 pace in the previous four games.

New York has won 10 of its last 12 games since Aug. 29 to clinch a playoff spot. The team is tied with the Atlanta Braves (79-66) with 17 games remaining in the regular season.

Toronto has lost 6 of its last 8 games and while it is still theoretically in contention for a playoff spot, it is 8 1/2 games behind Minnesota for the final Wild Card spot with just 16 games remaining.

The Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 games for the Blue Jays, while they are 9-3-1 in the last 13 games.

Mets projected starters at Blue Jays

Left handed Sean Manaea versus RHP Bowden Francis

Manaea (11-5, 3.43 ERA) is making his 29th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 157 1/3 IP.

• Last Start: No decision, 6 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 3 H (2 HR), 2 BB, 9 K in 1 6-4 10-inning home win vs. Cincinnati Reds
• Away games in 2024: 6-2, 2.90 ERA, 77 2/3 IP, 25 ER, 6 HR, 1.15 WHIP, .206 opponents batting average (OBA), 31 BB, 71 K in 14 starts
• Career vs Blue Jays: 2-0, 3.50 ERA, 36 IP, 14 ER, 5 HR, 1.03 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 in 6 appearances (5 starts)

Francis (8-4, 3.72 ERA) is making his 11th start and 25th appearance. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 84 2/3 IP.

• Last Start: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H (2 HR), 0 BB, 6 K in 4-2 home loss to Philadelphia Phillies last Wednesday
• Home splits in 2024: 3-1, ERA 4.41, 34 2/3 IP, 17 ER, 6 HR, WHIP 1.10, OBA .233, 8 BB, 35 K in 11 appearances (3 starts)
• Has never played against the Mets

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Mets vs. Blue Jays Odds

Powered by FanDuel Sportsbook; see USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for full listings. Lines last updated at 12:26am ET.

• Money Line (ML): Mets -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Blue Jays +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+134) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-162)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -122)

Mets at Blue Jays Picks and Predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Blue Jays 3

Moneyline

The METS (-120) are a strong player in the series finale, as the left-handed Manaea takes on his former team. Look for the lefty to pitch with a little extra gear on his old stomping grounds.

New York is in the hunt for a postseason and has been red hot, winning 10 of its last 12 games. The Blue Jays (+102) are technically still alive, but they are on their last legs and on the verge of elimination.

Run line/Against the spread

If you are a bit more conservative, it is best to BLUE VALLEY +1.5 (-162) is not outrageously priced. This should be a well-thrown match for both sides, with the home team coming up just a little short against their former left-hander.

However, the -1.5 Mets (+134) have failed to cover the run line in their last 3 games, including 2 outright losses.

Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-122) is perhaps the best move on the board.

The New York offense has allowed just 6 total runs in the last 3 games, while the Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 games. The Under is also 8-3-1 in the last 12 games, while the total has come in at a 5-3 clip in the last 8 starting assignments by Manaea.

For Toronto, the Under is 2-0-1 in its last 3 games, and 2-1-1 in its last 4 home games. The total has also been low in 5 consecutive starts by Francis.

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