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New Morning Consult Presidential Election: Harris Leads Trump

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As Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump battle for voters in key swing states, another national poll shows Harris with a slight lead over her opponent.

The race for the White House has been neck-and-neck as Democrat Harris and Republican Trump make the final pitches of their presidential campaigns. With just a week to go until Election Day, a new Morning Consult poll shows Harris with a three percentage point lead over Trump.

The Morning Consult poll of 8,807 likely voters found Harris leading Trump 50% to 47%. The poll, conducted from Friday to Sunday (October 25-27), had a margin of error of 1 percentage point.

The poll, released Tuesday morning, comes as Trump plans an evening rally in Allentown, Pennsylvania, about 60 miles northwest of Philadelphia, and Harris is set to appear for a rally in Washington, DC.

While Harris’ lead was smaller than a four percentage point lead in a similar poll last week, 45% of likely voters say they have recently heard something positive about the Democrat, “noting the positive buzz advantage they gained during the campaign has had, has retained. the poll said. Meanwhile, nearly half of those surveyed, 49%, said they had recently heard something negative about Trump.

At the same time, Republicans remain more advantaged than Democrats when it comes to the economy, national security, crime and immigration. However, Democrats are more confident on health care, climate change and abortion, the poll found.

Things to keep in mind when voting

The margin of error of a poll describes how accurately we can trust that the survey results are representative of the entire population.

When a candidate’s lead is “within” the margin of error, it is considered a “statistical tie,” according to the Pew Research Center.

Pew also found that the majority of pollsters have changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, significantly underestimating Trump’s performance.

Eric Lagatta covers the latest and trending news for USA TODAY. Reach him at [email protected]

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