Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 07-20-2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Saturday July 20, 2024

Place: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Bally Sport Detroit

Rogers Centre is the venue where the Toronto Blue Jays (44-52) will face the Detroit Tigers (47-50) on Saturday. The pitchers expected to start are Jack Flaherty and Chris Bassitt.

As a team, the Tigers have hit 142 doubles and knocked 99 baseballs out of the ballpark. Detroit is batting .387 and has been struck out 835 times, while allowing 278 walks. As a team, the Detroit Tigers are batting in 4.3 runs per game, which ranks 18th in the league. They have batted in 397 runs and knocked in 763 bases on the season, while their average at the plate is .234. They have scored 413 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .299.

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The Tigers have a team earned run average of 3.95 on the season (14th in baseball), and the staff has fielded 829 hitters. Tigers pitchers have given up 96 long balls and also 420 total runs (17th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 262 opponents and their FIP as a unit is 3.72 for the year. Detroit has allowed 790 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 377 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.16 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.22.

The Tigers’ bullpen has a 53.8% save percentage and has entered the game in 76 save situations. The relievers have inherited 142 baserunners this year, with 26.1% of them crossing the plate. Tigers pitchers have entered the game with players on base 101 times and have made 99 appearances in high-leverage situations. The Tigers have sent 290 relievers to the mound this campaign. The relievers have 37 holds for the year (29th in the league). They have recorded 21 saves on the season and have blown 18 of their 39 save opportunities.

The Detroit Tigers have 2,579 putouts at this point in the season, along with 839 assists and 59 errors. Their fielding percentage is .983, which ranks 26th in professional baseball, and they have 78 total double plays. The Tigers have converted 69.2% of balls in play into outs in their 7,737 innings, which ranks 22nd in the majors.

Flaherty (48-39 career record) has earned a 3.62 FIP while facing 3,161 batters in the major leagues. He has allowed 631 hits (7.5 hits per 9 innings) and has thrown 270 free passes. His earned run average is 3.67 (311 ERs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.182. Flaherty has thrown 762 innings and has collected 867 punch outs in his MLB career thus far.

The Blue Jays have a slugging percentage of .377 and are allowing 4.06 runs per game (24th in the league). They have 159 doubles, while taking 315 walks and scoring 390 runs. Toronto has hit 86 home runs this season, along with 370 RBIs. They have been struck out 701 times (26th in MLB) and have earned 748 base knocks. The Toronto Blue Jays have an OBP of .311 and a batting average of .236 on the campaign.

Toronto’s pitching staff has given up 456 runs this season and comes in with a team ERA of 4.45 (417 earned runs given up). They have allowed 132 long balls and are giving up 4.86 runs per 9 innings (25th in MLB). The Blue Jays have a team WHIP of 1.315 to go along with a staff FIP of 4.52 on the campaign. They have earned a strikeout-walk ratio of 8.30 (781 strikeouts against 291 bases on balls). They come in 23rd in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 819.

Toronto has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 35 save opportunities and have come away with 23 saves. They rank 13th in the league with a 65.7% save rate and have sent 325 bullpen pitchers to the mound during the campaign. Their relievers have come in 74 times in high leverage situations and also on 94 occasions with runners on. Toronto relief pitchers have an inherited scoring rate of 29.1% from the 141 inherited base runners. In 95 save situations, the Blue Jays have collected 58 holds and also 12 blown saves.

In their 7,596 innings on the field, the Blue Jays have amassed a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (19th in the majors). The Toronto Blue Jays have allowed 70 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (22nd in the MLB). The Blue Jays have collected 807 assists, 56 errors and 2,532 putouts on the campaign.

To date in his career, Bassitt has allowed 939 hits while recording 957 K’s in 1,044 total innings. He has allowed 405 ER’s while posting a WHIP of 1.218 and a FIP of 3.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.88 and has faced 4,385 opponents to date in his career. Bassitt (70-49 career win-loss record) has a 3.49 ERA while allowing 8.1 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn’s pick: choose Toronto

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