close
close
news

Carlos Alcaraz vs Mark Lajal Wimbledon Prediction, Odds, Picks

Carlos Alcaraz will face Mark Lajal at Wimbledon. Our Wimbledon odds series includes our Alcaraz Lajal prediction and pick. Find out how to see Alcaraz Lajal.

The 2024 Wimbledon Championships will kick off with Carlos Alcaraz attempting to defend his 2023 title. It won’t be easy, if only because Alcaraz comes to the All-England Club fresh from winning the French Open. He worked hard to win that tournament. The idea that he can bounce back and win seven matches isn’t something you should take as a likely outcome. It’s certainly possible, but it doesn’t seem likely. However, Alcaraz wasn’t expected to win Wimbledon a year ago, and yet he did, beating Novak Djokovic in the final after dropping the first set. Alcaraz is capable of extraordinary things, and perhaps Wimbledon will give him the chance to stun the tennis world once again. Keep in mind that Alcaraz has already won major tournaments on all three surfaces – grass, hard and now clay – and he’s only 21 years old. If anyone can overcome the odds at Wimbledon or anywhere else, it’s Alcaraz. He didn’t look sharp during the Queen’s Club grass-court warm-up for Wimbledon, but he was still tired from his French Open triumph. If he can get into form in Week 1 of Wimbledon, he could be a title contender in Week 2.

Here are the Carlos Alcaraz-Mark Lajal Wimbledon odds, thanks to FanDuel.

Wimbledon Odds: Carlos Alcaraz-Mark Lajal Odds

Game spread

Alcaraz -9.5: -110
Lajal +9.5: -122

Moneyline

Alcaraz: -10000
Lajal: +2400

To win the first set

Alcaraz: -1300
Sinner: +780

Total number of matches in match

More than 27.5: -128
Under 27.5: -104

Alcaraz over 18.5 games: -112
Alcaraz under 18.5 games: -118

Lajal over 9.5 games: -112
Lajal under 9.5 matches: -118

How to watch Carlos Alcaraz vs. Mark Lajal

TV: ESPN

Stream: ESPN Plus

Time: 8:30am ET / 5:30am PT

*Watch Carlos Alcaraz vs Mark Lajal LIVE on fuboTV (click for free trial)*

Why Carlos Alcaraz was able to cover the spread

Alcaraz is a much, much better player than Lajal. Even if you acknowledge that Alcaraz didn’t play great in the Wimbledon warm-up tournament, the difference in quality between these two players is so great that it doesn’t matter. Alcaraz should dominate and win by 10 or more games.

Why Mark Lajal could cover the spread

The 9.5 game spread for this match means that Alcaraz is expected to win comfortably, and he should. However, this is where betting on grass tennis gets a little tricky. In a grass match, a 6-4 or 6-3 set can be more comfortable and decisive than a 6-4 set on clay or hard courts. Why do we say this? Because on grass, the serve is rewarded more than on other surfaces. The ball speeds through the court and bounces lower on grass, making it a more favorable surface for servers and big hitters. On grass, getting just one break of serve in a set is a bigger achievement than getting that same break of serve on clay. Alcaraz could get just one break of serve in each set and win 6-3, 6-4, 6-3. The match could be lopsided. Alcaraz could be dominant. Still, Alcaraz would win by just eight games. This is why betting on Lajal makes sense.

Final prediction and pick Carlos Alcaraz-Mark Lajal

The spread is not the betting tool you want to bet on. Take an easier approach: Alcaraz wins in straight sets and doesn’t need seven games to win a set. He could win three 6-4 sets and still cash in a ticket for less than 18.5 games. Agree with that.

Final Carlos Alcaraz-Mark Lajal prediction and pick: Alcaraz less than 18.5 games

Related Articles

Back to top button