Bobby Green vs Paddy Pimblett Pick, 27-07-2024 Predictions UFC 304 Odds

Bobby Green vs Paddy Pimblett

UFC-304

Co-op Live in Manchester, England

Saturday, July 27, 2024

Bobby Green takes on Paddy Pimblett at UFC 304 on Saturday, July 27, 2024. The opener is priced at -118 for Green, while Pimblett comes in at -102.

Bobby “King” Green will be looking to add a win to his career total of 32-15-1 (1 NC). The 37-year-old fights at 155 lbs and is 5’10”. The orthodox fighter extends to 71″. Paddy “The Baddy” Pimblett is 5’10” and fights at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 21-3-0. The 29-year-old extends his reach to 73″. In the significant punch category, Bobby Green lands 6.45 per minute, while Paddy Pimblett lands 5.13 significant punches per minute. Green connects on 52% of the significant punches he attempts, while Pimblett lands 52%. When it comes to the fighter’s defense, “King” takes 3.75 significant punches per minute, while “The Baddy” takes 3.70. Green also blocks 62% of the heavy punches aimed at him and Pimblett defends against 41% of the shots thrown his way.

In terms of wrestling, Bobby Green is the more productive wrestler, landing a takedown 1.19 times per 15 minutes. Green scores a takedown 38% of the time he attempts one and stops 74% of all takedowns attempted by his opponent. Pimblett gets his opponent to the mat 25% of his takedown attempts and stops 56% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of replacing opponents, Green is the less proficient of the two fighters, attempting 0.3 submissions per 3 rounds, while Pimblett attempts 1.6 submissions per 3 rounds.

Get all our UFC Expert Picks

In his previous fight, Bobby Green fought Jim Miller and went on to win via unanimous decision in round 3. Miller ended up landing 58 of the 145 total punches he threw in that match. Green left that fight with 187 of 320 total punches thrown. In the significant punch category, Miller ended up landing 57 of 144, giving him a percentage of 39%. He ended up landing 29 of 103 significant punches to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Green ended up landing 58% of his significant punches by landing 186 of 319. Of those significant punches, he landed 136 of 245 that were to the head. 96% of the significant punches that Miller landed and 89% of the punches that Green landed were counted from a distance.

In Paddy Pimblett’s last Octagon appearance, he fought Tony Ferguson and ultimately emerged victorious in the fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Ferguson ended up landing 82% of the significant punches he received from distance and Pimblett ended up landing 62% of his significant punches from distance. Pimblett landed 64% of the significant punches he attempted by landing 106 of 165. He landed 73 of 127 significant punches aimed at the head. Ferguson ended up landing 62 of 105 significant punches in that match. Of all the significant punches he threw, he landed 35 of 66 to the head. In terms of the total number of punches he threw in this fight, Ferguson landed 90 of 134 and Pimblett was 151 of the 217 punches he threw in total.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another fight you will want to watch is when Muhammad Mokaev takes on Manel Kape. Mokaev enters the cage with a record of 12-0-0 (1 NC). The 23-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and stands 5’7”. The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 70”. Kape stands 5’5” and weighs 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter enters the Octagon with a record of 19-6-0. The 30-year-old stands 68”. As for wrestling, Muhammad Mokaev takes his opponents to the mat 5.75 times per 3 rounds while Manel Kape is able to score 0.65 takedowns per 15 minutes. In the punching category, Mokaev lands 1.53 punches per minute and connects on 48% of the punches he throws. On the other side of the cage is Manel Kape, who connects on 54% of the punches he’s attempted and is throwing 5.12 punches per minute.

If you’re going to watch the fights, don’t miss when Giga Chikadze steps into the Octagon against Arnold Allen. Allen has a record of 19-3-0. The 30-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and is 5’8”. The southpaw fighter is 70”. Chikadze is 6’0” and hits the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 15-3-0. The 35-year-old has a wingspan of 74”. As for wrestling, Arnold Allen is able to stop 75% of the takedowns that fighters have attempted and takes his opponents to the canvas on 50% of his attempts. Chikadze takes his opponents down on 33% of the attempts he attempts and blocks 69% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In terms of strikes, Allen takes 2.91 strikes per minute and he deals 3.39 strikes per minute. Chikadze, on the other hand, takes 3.44 strikes/min and deals 4.08 per minute.

Who will win tonight’s UFC against the spread match?

Josh Schonwald’s pick: take Bobby Green (-118)

Get $60 in FREE premium member choices. No obligation. No salesperson. No credit card. Fast registration with instant access Click here