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Wake Forest vs Miami Predictions, Picks, Odds for College Football Week 13

Miami will be eager to shake off a loss to Georgia Tech, and Wake Forest’s awful defense can help them do that. But the Demon Deacons will also join the score in an early Saturday thriller.

Rob Paul - Betting Analyst at Covers.com

November 23, 2024 • 9:15 AM ET

• 4 minutes reading

Photo by – Imagn Images. Pictured: Cam Ward.

The last time the Miami Hurricanes took the field, they were upset by Georgia Tech. Today, Cam Ward & Co. many points to hang on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Hard Rock Stadium. Kickoff is at noon on ESPN.

Thanks to Ward and this explosive offense going up against a Demon Deacons defense that doesn’t exist, my Wake Forest vs. Miami predictions and college football picks for Saturday, November 23 that this game is all about the offensive fireworks.

Wake Forest vs Miami prediction and best bet

Who wins Wake Forest vs. Miami?

This isn’t a classic Dave Clawson Wake Forest team that can upset a more talented program. It appears the Demon Deacons will miss a bowl game for the second straight season for the first time since 2014-15.

Meanwhile, Miami has the best QB in the country in Ward and a corps full of future NFL players. Wake Forest just doesn’t have the athleticism on defense to keep Ward from ripping off his secondary. The Hurricanes take this one, 45-23.

My best choice
Over 64.5 (-110 at BetMGM)
Picks made at the time of writing may not reflect live odds.

My analysis

One of these offenses is arguably the best in the country, and the other is led by former Boise State and Louisiana Tech starting QB Hank Bachmeier. While the 25-year-old Bachmeier should probably focus more on working on his LinkedIn instead of trying to upset the Miami Hurricanes, he is in a position to lead the Wake Forest Demon Deacons to another Over.

Wake Forest has hit the game total in seven of the last twelve games (+2.60 units / 20% ROI), and as bad as the team is this season, the offense has had some moments. Wake is just 83rd in SP+, but its offense is 59th and has scored more than 23 points in eight of 10 games.

The Demon Deacons have a pair of playmakers that Bachmeier can also lean on in running back Demond Claiborne and wide receiver Taylor Morin. These three have Wake ranked in the Top 80 in both EPA per rush and dropback.

Wake is able to do plenty of offense for Over bettors as Miami looks to do the heavy lifting in one of the most lopsided matchups of the season in the ACC.

The Hurricanes are SP+’s No. 1 offense and are averaging the most points per game in the country this season (45.0). They scored more than 36 points in nine of the ten games and more than forty in six of them.

That’s because Ward has Mario Cristobal’s team ranked No. 5 in EPA per dropback and ready to expose a Wake Forest defense that ranks 107th in EPA per dropback. Wake ranks 114th in points allowed (32.5) and allows the fifth-most yards per game in the Power 4 (437.9).

And it’s not that Miami’s run game isn’t equally competent — it ranks fifth in EPA per rush. So between Ward, Damien Martinez, Xavier Restrepo and several other future NFL playmakers, Miami will once again score 40-plus and cash in this Over.

Wake Forest vs Miami same-game parlay (SGP)

BetMGM logo

More than 64.5

Cam Ward Over 324.5 passing yards

Xavier Restrepo Over 89.5 receiving yards

Ward can still get into the Heisman odds race, and Wake Forest is the perfect team to do it against. The Demon Deacons are allowing the fifth-most passing yards per game in the country (281.9) and Ward has thrown for 325+ in seven of 10 games.

He is first in college football in passing yards (3,494) and fourth in big throws (24), per PFF. With a room full of pass catchers starting work on Sunday, he should fly along this line again.

It helps that he also has one of the best receivers in the country in Restrepo. Restrepo has over 89.5 yards receiving in six games this season.

Learn how to parlay on the same game with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Wake Forest vs. Miami Odds

Wake Forest vs Miami live odds

Opening odds Wake Forest vs Miami

  • Wake Forest vs. Miami spread: Miami -23.5
  • Wake Forest vs. Miami Moneyline: Wakebos +1,200 | Miami -3,000
  • Wake Forest vs. Miami over/under: 65.5

Odds courtesy of BetMGM

Wake Forest vs. Miami spread and over/under analysis

  • Miami opened between a 23.5 and 24 point favorite, with most books now offering the Hurricanes between -24.5 and -25.5.
  • Miami is 5-5 ATS this season, while Wake Forest is just 3-5-2.
  • The Over/Under opened as high as 67.5, with most books settling at 64.5.
  • The Hurricanes are among the top Over teams in the country at 7-2-1 and the Demon Deacons are 5-5.

Wake Forest vs Miami betting trend to know

Miami has reached the Over game total in nine of the last twelve games (+6.80 units / 51% ROI). Find more college football betting odds for Wake Forest vs Miami.

Wake Forest vs Miami game information

Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Date: Saturday 23-11-2024
Kick-off: 12:00 PM ET
TV: ESPN

Wake Forest vs Miami latest injuries

Wake Forest vs. Miami again

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