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2 systems in Atlantic, 1 could strengthen this week

VaselineOctober 15, 2024

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2 systems in Atlantic, 1 could strengthen this week

Less than a week after Hurricane Milton cut a path of death and destruction through Florida, two more disturbances are looming in the Atlantic Basin.

The National Hurricane Center said Tuesday it is monitoring two systems in the Atlantic Ocean, including one that could develop into a tropical depression later this week.

“There are approximately six weeks remaining in the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 through November 30, and the tropics remain active,” AccuWeather meteorologists said in a recent release.

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Here’s what we know from the centre’s latest advice.

Will Invest 94L become Tropical Storm Nadine?

Special note about the NHC cone: The forecast track shows the most likely path from the center of the storm. It does not illustrate the full width of the storm or its effects, and the center of the storm is likely to move outside the cone up to 33% of the time.

The system, currently designated Invest 94L, was described by the hurricane center as a “well-defined area of low pressure” located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean, currently producing intermittent showers and thunderstorms.

Forecasters said the system remains “embedded in a dry air environment” and development is unlikely in the coming days, but the system is expected to move generally westward and environmental conditions are expected to become more favorable for gradual development through the middle to latter part of this week.

“A tropical depression could form as the system begins moving west-northwestward and approaches or nears the Leeward Islands late this week,” the NHC said.

Formation opportunity for 48 hours: Low, 30 percent.
Training opportunity for 7 days: Average, 60 percent.

Invest in 94 liter spaghetti models

Special note about spaghetti models: Illustrations cover a range of forecasting tools and models, and they are not all the same. The hurricane center uses only the four or five best-performing models to help make its forecasts.

NHC is monitoring a new disruption

Western Caribbean Sea: A broad low-pressure area could develop over the southwestern Caribbean Sea by the middle of this week.

Some gradual development is possible afterward as the system remains above water as it slowly moves west-northwestward toward northern Central America.

“Based on the latest information we have and reviewing the situation, the most likely route the brewery in the western Caribbean would take this weekend would be a more southerly track into Central America,” said Alex DaSilva, AccuWeather’s chief hurricane expert. .

Regardless of the development, however, locally heavy rainfall is possible in parts of Central America later this week.

The system is not currently expected to impact the U.S. coast.